Final Call: PM Gillard 77 Rudd 25
No bull, no guessing – we are the Dolphins – The Finnigans (The beautiful photos were done by @GeorgeBludger) - Michelle Rowland will not vote tomorrow, so the total will be: 102, not 103.
Our final count of the publicly declared support: PM Gillard 61 Rudd 19 with 22 Known Unknown. The question is how will the Unknowns break. Sportsbet is reporting the odds of PM Gillard $1.11 Rudd $6.25. Based on that we took the conservative approach and say the Unknowns will be break 70:30 to PM Gillard’s favour. This will give PM Gillard additional 16 votes to 77 and Rudd 6 votes to 25. That is our final call: 77 to 25
ALP Members For Julia Gillard PM – 61 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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24.90 Mark Dreyfus (House of Reps) |
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23.90 Nicola Roxon (House of Reps) |
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22.60 Kate Ellis (House of Reps) |
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22.30 Harry Jenkins (House of Reps) |
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22.20 Brendan O’Connor (House of Reps) |
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22.20 John Murphy (House of Reps) |
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19.70 Laurie Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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17.10 Tanya Plibersek (House of Reps) |
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16.90 Bill Shorten (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Andrew Leigh (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Richard Marles (House of Reps) |
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13.90 Amanda Rishworth (House of Reps) |
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13.50 Simon Crean (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Sharon Bird (House of Reps) |
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12.90 Jenny Macklin (House of Reps) |
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12.70 Greg Combet (House of Reps) |
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12.50 Sharon Grierson (House of Reps) |
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12.10 Stephen Jones (House of Reps) |
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11.70 Catherine King (House of Reps) |
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11.50 Jason Clare (House of Reps) |
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11.00 Mark Butler (House of Reps) |
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10.80 Julia Gillard (House of Reps) |
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9.50 Steve Gibbons (House of Reps) |
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9.20 Gai Brodtmann (House of Reps) |
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9.10 Tony Burke (House of Reps) |
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8.80 Chris Hayes (House of Reps) |
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5.90 Stephen Smith (House of Reps) |
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5.80 Bernie Ripoll (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Steve Georganas (House of Reps) |
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5.40 Craig Emerson (House of Reps) |
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5.30 Rob Mitchell (House of Reps) |
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5.20 Peter Garrett (House of Reps) |
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4.40 Julie Collins (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Shayne Neumann (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Sid Sidebottom (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Warren Snowdon (House of Reps) |
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3.30 Gary Gray (House of Reps) |
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3.20 Wayne Swan (House of Reps) |
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2.70 Joel Fitzgibbon (House of Reps) |
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2.50 Yvette D’Ath (House of Reps) |
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1.80 Mike Symon (House of Reps) |
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1.50 Daryl Melham (House of Reps) |
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1.10 David Bradbury (House of Reps) |
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1.10 Graham Perrett (House of Reps) |
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1.00 Deb O’Neill (House of Reps) |
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0.90 Michael Danby (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Stephen Conroy (Senate) |
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0.00 Don Farrell (Senate) |
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0.00 David Feeney (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Arbib (Senate) |
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0.00 Jacinta Collins (Senate) |
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0.00 Christopher Evans (Senate) |
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0.00 Kate Lundy (Senate) |
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0.00 Jan McLucas (Senate) |
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0.00 Penny Wong (Senate) |
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0.00 Louise Pratt (Senate) |
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0.00 Lisa Singh (Senate) |
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0.00 Glenn Sterle (Senate) |
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0.00 Matt Thistlethwaite (Senate) |
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0.00 Catryna Bilyk (Senate) |
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0.00 Joe Ludwig (Senate) |
ALP Members For Kevin Rudd – 19 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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20.60 Anthony Albanese (House of Reps) |
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20.00 Maria Vamvakinou (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Anthony Byrne (House of Reps) |
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12.30 Ed Husic (House of Reps) |
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12.20 Janelle Saffin (House of Reps) |
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12.00 Nick Champion (House of Reps) |
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8.10 Alan Griffin (House of Reps) |
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7.80 Chris Bowen (House of Reps) |
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7.70 Justine Elliot (House of Reps) |
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6.90 Robert McClelland (House of Reps) |
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6.80 Laura Smyth (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Martin Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Kevin Rudd (House of Reps) |
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0.40 Darren Cheeseman (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Ursula Stephens (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Bishop (Senate) |
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0.00 Kim Carr (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Furner (Senate) |
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0.00 Gavin Marshall (Senate) |
Thanks, My Say. Nice to be home.
vicroria oh thought a crean was great, , u know some good may come out of this
jack how did u find franks
I disagree, My Say, Rudd would do anything with a fish if the fish could guarantee him a vote. Or a favourable op/ed.
Through pb, My Say.
yes i suppose rudd would but i think he would wear a suit
a few years ago we where on holiday in central tas. people whe re yelling out there are the rudds,
i saw them in tbe distance , when we got home there where photos in press,
bob hawvke and mr frazer are believed to have cottages here no one knows where they holida, y
So much for the polls would slump.
Can anyone direct me to the correct page on centrebet for the leadership spill? Trying to find anything on that site is making my eyes bleed….
frank can we not have polls thats another reason i shut the door behi d me
but having said 34 ,is ok so the rudd thing that would haveto be liberals
frank and all the support team u have done well
thank u
GhostWhoVotes
@GhostWhoVotesThe
#Galaxy tables: http://bit.ly/zS8uBX#respill#auspol@GhostWhoVotes#Nielsen Poll Preferred ALP Leader: Gillard 34 (-1) Rudd 58 (+1)#auspol#respillHi All
I have emailed my MP and told her I supported her in voting for Julia. I think they need all the words of encouragement we can give.
Do you think these polls will have any effect on the vote? ruawake?
Frank, you are really starting to get some traffic here now, nice to see. I occasionally pop in for a look around.
I worked on the 2007 campaign for all of 2007 and most of 2006 to get rid of workchoices and Howard.
It is sad to see the one who became the face of Labor and helped to get us in from the cold get so confused and think it is just all about him.
me to julie collins great member u know i never thought of doing that for the others.may be a project for tomorrow they say 38 here dont remember that temp before
per haps we could write to the younger ones
Herald Sun now at
41
25
Undecided 25
Many of the undecided have piblicly declared for JG
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/more-news/labor-leadership-crisis-the-rival-camps/story-fn7x8me2-1226280094087
would some one count the photos i think more than 61
Sorry that should be 51/25/25
They have miscounted by 2
On the subject of Journalists, I was watching a show on ABC24 regarding American politics. They were interviewing a veteran BBC journalist who covered the 2000 Elections.
He was saying along the lines that basically people could see that Al Gore had the right skills to be President, but that he was a boring campaigner, that he struggled to catch the imagination, and that as president he’d just bring in another 4 years of the Clinton administration without the ‘pzazz’.
And so most of the US Press Gallery supported Bush in the campaign, ‘because they wanted to make it more interesting for themselves’ and that Bush was a more colourful candidate and could make more stories.
Yeah, and look where that got the world. I’m just gobsmacked that journalists do this thing and see nothing wrong with it. So, if the candidates were a boring, yet stable, skilled president and a ‘colourful’ warmonger with outrageous social policies and an economic plan from space, the journalists would twist the narrative to make the warmonger electable and take down that boring guy that doesn’t have a chance of waking up one day and deciding to end all civilization before breakfast.
It’s just sad that Australia has also gone down this path.
so o is the paper different to us, i would say finns would be very care ful when he was looking , support staements
hi von kerslake
Hello My Say, and everyone else.
Of course Labor are hurting themselves, sometimes to cut out a malignant growth you have to get hurt and feel pain. Once the postule is removed Labor has the people, the talent and the vision to repair the hurt and to win handsomely at the next election
Re. post 13@page 8
Just posted it on Kevin Rudds website. Don’t know how long it will last. Not long I guess.
Does anyone know if Nielsen has done a breakdown by party of preferred leader Rudd v Ms Gillard.?
cheers.
just wrote to albo..
may be this is a god send, it may even , make some junos see the light an start , do better
Crean on 7.30
Crean was fantastic!
#Newspoll Preferred ALP Leader: Gillard 30 (+6 from September) Rudd 53 (-4) #respill #auspol
24/02/12 11:22 PM
Off to bed now hello to all the new ones like me arriving it is becoming a very good blog now and I think it will end up much better than the other site Political Bastardry.
#Newspoll Preferred ALP Leader (ALP Voters): Gillard 41 Rudd 58 #respill #auspol
24/02/12 11:24 PM
Nielsen Poll on whether ALP should change leader: Rudd 48% Gillard 47%
24/02/12 11:24 PM
#Newspoll Preferred PM: Gillard 34 (-3) Abbott 43 (+3) #respill #auspol
24/02/12 11:26 PM
@Pollytics 346 voters. #Newspoll
24/02/12 11:28 PM
useless
And Noooospooo have shot their credibility – AGAIN
So with all the wankery of the past week the polls have moved within moe. Abbott must be shitting himself.
Frank/ru, these polls are pretty much useless. Low sample numbers in the newspoll, contradictory results between the pollsters, what a bunch of wankery. And they’re going to keep going all the through Sunday night.
Oz Labor tearing themselves to pieces. Ugly sight. Tony Abbott should just lie low and watch.
24/02/12 11:36 PM
@rupertmurdoch @lyndalcurtis Pity News Limited doesn’t “lie low” and stop interfering in our democracy
24/02/12 11:40 PM
Wankery which the media and Poss/Manchild will salivate over like a perv in an Adult Cinema.
The Evan Parson’s Projects past has come back to haunt him – AGAIN
Laurie uses a “former Rudd Govt Adviser” to dump on Rudd.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/revealed-why-they-hate-kevin-rudd-so-much/story-fn56baaq-1226280973899
When Laurire Dumps on Rudd you know he’s fucked.
I posted this over at PB but thought I would put it here too.
I was online polled tonightfor my voting intentions and who I support for PM, Gillard, Rudd or other. At http://whatthepeoplewant.net/
Link to join and participate in future polls. http://whatthepeoplewant.net/join-the-panel.html
Hello all.
Congratulations to the blog owners for creating and maintaining such a neat and tidy venue. I have been lurking here for a couple of weeks and I’m only sticking my head up now because I have purloined a number of links from here over recent days. My mother taught me that it’s always polite to say thank-you.
Thank-you for the very useful links and other associated information.
Keep up the great work.
This one sentence sums up his curent campaign from the Oakes article: