Final Call: PM Gillard 77 Rudd 25
No bull, no guessing – we are the Dolphins – The Finnigans (The beautiful photos were done by @GeorgeBludger) - Michelle Rowland will not vote tomorrow, so the total will be: 102, not 103.
Our final count of the publicly declared support: PM Gillard 61 Rudd 19 with 22 Known Unknown. The question is how will the Unknowns break. Sportsbet is reporting the odds of PM Gillard $1.11 Rudd $6.25. Based on that we took the conservative approach and say the Unknowns will be break 70:30 to PM Gillard’s favour. This will give PM Gillard additional 16 votes to 77 and Rudd 6 votes to 25. That is our final call: 77 to 25
ALP Members For Julia Gillard PM – 61 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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24.90 Mark Dreyfus (House of Reps) |
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23.90 Nicola Roxon (House of Reps) |
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22.60 Kate Ellis (House of Reps) |
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22.30 Harry Jenkins (House of Reps) |
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22.20 Brendan O’Connor (House of Reps) |
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22.20 John Murphy (House of Reps) |
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19.70 Laurie Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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17.10 Tanya Plibersek (House of Reps) |
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16.90 Bill Shorten (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Andrew Leigh (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Richard Marles (House of Reps) |
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13.90 Amanda Rishworth (House of Reps) |
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13.50 Simon Crean (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Sharon Bird (House of Reps) |
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12.90 Jenny Macklin (House of Reps) |
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12.70 Greg Combet (House of Reps) |
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12.50 Sharon Grierson (House of Reps) |
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12.10 Stephen Jones (House of Reps) |
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11.70 Catherine King (House of Reps) |
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11.50 Jason Clare (House of Reps) |
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11.00 Mark Butler (House of Reps) |
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10.80 Julia Gillard (House of Reps) |
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9.50 Steve Gibbons (House of Reps) |
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9.20 Gai Brodtmann (House of Reps) |
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9.10 Tony Burke (House of Reps) |
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8.80 Chris Hayes (House of Reps) |
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5.90 Stephen Smith (House of Reps) |
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5.80 Bernie Ripoll (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Steve Georganas (House of Reps) |
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5.40 Craig Emerson (House of Reps) |
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5.30 Rob Mitchell (House of Reps) |
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5.20 Peter Garrett (House of Reps) |
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4.40 Julie Collins (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Shayne Neumann (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Sid Sidebottom (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Warren Snowdon (House of Reps) |
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3.30 Gary Gray (House of Reps) |
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3.20 Wayne Swan (House of Reps) |
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2.70 Joel Fitzgibbon (House of Reps) |
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2.50 Yvette D’Ath (House of Reps) |
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1.80 Mike Symon (House of Reps) |
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1.50 Daryl Melham (House of Reps) |
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1.10 David Bradbury (House of Reps) |
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1.10 Graham Perrett (House of Reps) |
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1.00 Deb O’Neill (House of Reps) |
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0.90 Michael Danby (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Stephen Conroy (Senate) |
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0.00 Don Farrell (Senate) |
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0.00 David Feeney (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Arbib (Senate) |
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0.00 Jacinta Collins (Senate) |
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0.00 Christopher Evans (Senate) |
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0.00 Kate Lundy (Senate) |
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0.00 Jan McLucas (Senate) |
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0.00 Penny Wong (Senate) |
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0.00 Louise Pratt (Senate) |
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0.00 Lisa Singh (Senate) |
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0.00 Glenn Sterle (Senate) |
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0.00 Matt Thistlethwaite (Senate) |
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0.00 Catryna Bilyk (Senate) |
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0.00 Joe Ludwig (Senate) |
ALP Members For Kevin Rudd – 19 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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20.60 Anthony Albanese (House of Reps) |
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20.00 Maria Vamvakinou (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Anthony Byrne (House of Reps) |
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12.30 Ed Husic (House of Reps) |
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12.20 Janelle Saffin (House of Reps) |
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12.00 Nick Champion (House of Reps) |
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8.10 Alan Griffin (House of Reps) |
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7.80 Chris Bowen (House of Reps) |
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7.70 Justine Elliot (House of Reps) |
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6.90 Robert McClelland (House of Reps) |
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6.80 Laura Smyth (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Martin Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Kevin Rudd (House of Reps) |
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0.40 Darren Cheeseman (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Ursula Stephens (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Bishop (Senate) |
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0.00 Kim Carr (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Furner (Senate) |
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0.00 Gavin Marshall (Senate) |
So what are the chances of a Rudd miracle?
We have to suffer two more days of this drivel.
OK LOL
Can’t get on to Cikey because the conservatives have taken over. Basically they have sqeezed out the My Say’s et al.
They must see JG as a real threat hence their need to bring her down.
Still can’t believe that any ALP mp would support Rudds actions because that’s what they are doing. They are condoning his white-anting and deliberate lowering of the Govt’s standing in the polls.
Im angry enough to think that the idea “faceless men” is projection by Rudd to cover the suggestion that his supportes have been bought off by vested interests.
The transcript of Nicola Roxon’s Sky interview is *amazeballs* http://t.co/sY2C60R5 via @jason_a_w
24/02/12 2:55 PM
rnm1953
It seems inconceivable that the are Labor supporters. Rudd’s conduct has been disgraceful
How can Albo vote for Rudd, if he does, then get up in parliament and talk about all the legsilation that Julia got through?
I’d be incredibly disappointed if he sides with Rudd.
Sry – yep the Cricket score… forrest 66 (96) Clarke 42(54) 2/124 off 28.3 overs (from Tasmanianiana)
PM on now
Go girl.
I have the character temperament strength to lead country
not celebrity big brother
persoanl attributes and strengths to get this done
I’ve delivered reforms that were difficult to implement
much more reform to come
skills/school funding – building on jobs/economy/change etc
keep delivering health reforms
keep delivering on carbon price reforms – climate change and help families work through it (financially)
national disability scheme
Have been speaking about two reforms here in Melbourne as deputy PM/PM
working with a character, method, discipline, over the longterm to get results
talk is easy, getting things done is harder – and I am the person who gets things done
of course elections important – I’m sure I can beat Abbott
Abbott has no ideas of his own
Asking caucus to support me – to continue delivering a Labor agenda, fair share today, building the country in the future
When Monday comes – a country will need to be governed.
And the Croaky Vic20 has crashd AGAIN
Frank! Stop looking over there or you’ll go blind!
Frank Calabrese
Of course it has crashed again. It is being clogged with absolute crap all week. They are a pathetic bunch.
From the other place:
That was ‘kick-ass’…. ummm would Grattan be 1 of the 4?
myk42
At the other place. One of them said she looked beaten. It is going to be Rudd v Turnbull
Julia really pressed the media to answer the “who Kevin briefed” question.
It has to come out.
ruawake
Do you think it will come out? I am sure Barrie Cassidy will tell someone. He hates Rudd with a passion.
ruawake, any news to share?
Loved JG’s presser! My favourite part… “Just fine.” Amazing.
She looked strong and assertive though I’m betting that the press will describe her as shrill and angry.
PB is being overrun with Menzies house. Should we advertise this site over there again right now?
Hey Frank
Isn’t your suspension from PB about to finish? – Go on I’d love to see you set a new record for a recurrent ban.
CAtching up with the osts – when it works-will ost a doozy ofaost and let thefireworks begin :-)
ruawake
Victoria, when I left from there, I meant it for good. It’s been shit for some time in my opinion. The moment the management is more interested in “how” people post to each other over the substance and factual nature of those posts, they might as well put a “Hillbilly section” sign on the top and let any dickhead talk crap… which they have
Frank calabrese
If you take a nuclear approach you will be banned straight away
#Morgan F2F: Respondent Allocated Prefs: ALP 48 (+1.5), L/NP 52 (-1.5), 2010 Election Prefs: ALP 51.5 (+7), L/NP 48.5 (-7) …
24/02/12 4:52 PM
george
Agreed, but it would be good if we could get some of the sensible posters over here.
I could go over and recommend this site for those who have had enough of menzies house types
Yep went to Aldi, they ran out of the liitle cheese kranskys. But had some nice orchids for my mum at only $4.99.
Filled the Merc up with petrol $39 for the fortnight!
Bought some chives, lettuce and parsley seedlings at Bunnings. Herb garden fantasies have raised there head again.
Its raining.
That is about all the important news I know of.
PS Kevin Rudd will be lucky to get 20 votes, it seems the left will abstain.
Damn, still banned.Let Manchild look lke a goose on Monday :-)
gordon graham
For real?
I think JG’s presser yesterday and today were excellent.
The shackles of protecting Rudd by trying to do what she thought was the right thing are off.
Maybe new media adviser or whatever but if JG can continue this form then we are in with a really good chance come election 2013
Vic…. don’t really care what they think quiet frankly
…. after this, all pressure is on the Fibs 
MSM orgasm (excuse the french)
#Morgan F2F Voting Intention: ALP 37 (-1.5), L/NP 41.5 (-4), Greens 14.5 (+5), Others/Independents 7 (+0.5)
24/02/12 4:55 PM
I personally thought Rudd’s speech probably more persuasive than Gillard’s, but that won’t make a bit of difference.
Oh Dear The Hillbillies on PB won’t like that Morgan :-) BTW George can you record the 405am portion of overnights – they had some professor of politics from SA talking up the sociopath from Griffith.
http://www.abc.netau/overnights
Rua,
Batphone please :-)
A Song dedicated to St Kev
Frank, my say is having problems logging in – do you or any of the other Frankers have access to the user’s list? Can you let her know her login details?
Frank Calabrese
Bilbo has already said to take that poll with a grain of sale. We need to wait for Newspoll and Nielsen. You know the trusted media.
Oops salt
I’ve hasd several password changes for a denese and gabby – They MIGHT be My Say trying to log in
george
Thanks re my say. I have tried to help myself, but for some reason she cannot login
Victoria,
Doyou have my say’s email ady – if so please email it to me and I’ll see what I can do – also what username is she registerd with ?
Frank Calabrese
Yes it has been her trying to login
So Manchild says to take Morgan with a Grain of Salt – how surprisement – he doesn’t like it cos it doesn’t fit with his new agenda for PB.
Frank, can you edit her username and add a password so she can login?
Hey DTT only one Federal MP is supporting Rudd – HIMSELF :-)
Ineed to kbow the username/email address for a start :-)
Just create a new one from scratch
I heard Alex Somlyay’s office is sick and tired of telling people Alex cannot vote for Mr Rudd. Especially when the callers hangs up in disgust accusing Mr Somlyay of being a Gillard supporter.
Not joking.