Final Call: PM Gillard 77 Rudd 25
No bull, no guessing – we are the Dolphins – The Finnigans (The beautiful photos were done by @GeorgeBludger) - Michelle Rowland will not vote tomorrow, so the total will be: 102, not 103.
Our final count of the publicly declared support: PM Gillard 61 Rudd 19 with 22 Known Unknown. The question is how will the Unknowns break. Sportsbet is reporting the odds of PM Gillard $1.11 Rudd $6.25. Based on that we took the conservative approach and say the Unknowns will be break 70:30 to PM Gillard’s favour. This will give PM Gillard additional 16 votes to 77 and Rudd 6 votes to 25. That is our final call: 77 to 25
ALP Members For Julia Gillard PM – 61 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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24.90 Mark Dreyfus (House of Reps) |
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23.90 Nicola Roxon (House of Reps) |
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22.60 Kate Ellis (House of Reps) |
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22.30 Harry Jenkins (House of Reps) |
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22.20 Brendan O’Connor (House of Reps) |
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22.20 John Murphy (House of Reps) |
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19.70 Laurie Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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17.10 Tanya Plibersek (House of Reps) |
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16.90 Bill Shorten (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Andrew Leigh (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Richard Marles (House of Reps) |
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13.90 Amanda Rishworth (House of Reps) |
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13.50 Simon Crean (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Sharon Bird (House of Reps) |
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12.90 Jenny Macklin (House of Reps) |
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12.70 Greg Combet (House of Reps) |
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12.50 Sharon Grierson (House of Reps) |
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12.10 Stephen Jones (House of Reps) |
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11.70 Catherine King (House of Reps) |
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11.50 Jason Clare (House of Reps) |
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11.00 Mark Butler (House of Reps) |
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10.80 Julia Gillard (House of Reps) |
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9.50 Steve Gibbons (House of Reps) |
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9.20 Gai Brodtmann (House of Reps) |
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9.10 Tony Burke (House of Reps) |
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8.80 Chris Hayes (House of Reps) |
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5.90 Stephen Smith (House of Reps) |
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5.80 Bernie Ripoll (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Steve Georganas (House of Reps) |
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5.40 Craig Emerson (House of Reps) |
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5.30 Rob Mitchell (House of Reps) |
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5.20 Peter Garrett (House of Reps) |
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4.40 Julie Collins (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Shayne Neumann (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Sid Sidebottom (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Warren Snowdon (House of Reps) |
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3.30 Gary Gray (House of Reps) |
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3.20 Wayne Swan (House of Reps) |
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2.70 Joel Fitzgibbon (House of Reps) |
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2.50 Yvette D’Ath (House of Reps) |
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1.80 Mike Symon (House of Reps) |
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1.50 Daryl Melham (House of Reps) |
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1.10 David Bradbury (House of Reps) |
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1.10 Graham Perrett (House of Reps) |
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1.00 Deb O’Neill (House of Reps) |
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0.90 Michael Danby (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Stephen Conroy (Senate) |
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0.00 Don Farrell (Senate) |
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0.00 David Feeney (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Arbib (Senate) |
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0.00 Jacinta Collins (Senate) |
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0.00 Christopher Evans (Senate) |
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0.00 Kate Lundy (Senate) |
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0.00 Jan McLucas (Senate) |
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0.00 Penny Wong (Senate) |
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0.00 Louise Pratt (Senate) |
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0.00 Lisa Singh (Senate) |
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0.00 Glenn Sterle (Senate) |
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0.00 Matt Thistlethwaite (Senate) |
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0.00 Catryna Bilyk (Senate) |
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0.00 Joe Ludwig (Senate) |
ALP Members For Kevin Rudd – 19 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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20.60 Anthony Albanese (House of Reps) |
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20.00 Maria Vamvakinou (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Anthony Byrne (House of Reps) |
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12.30 Ed Husic (House of Reps) |
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12.20 Janelle Saffin (House of Reps) |
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12.00 Nick Champion (House of Reps) |
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8.10 Alan Griffin (House of Reps) |
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7.80 Chris Bowen (House of Reps) |
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7.70 Justine Elliot (House of Reps) |
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6.90 Robert McClelland (House of Reps) |
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6.80 Laura Smyth (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Martin Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Kevin Rudd (House of Reps) |
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0.40 Darren Cheeseman (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Ursula Stephens (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Bishop (Senate) |
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0.00 Kim Carr (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Furner (Senate) |
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0.00 Gavin Marshall (Senate) |
Of course Bandt, O and Windsor will not oblige. Not sure about the other indies though
Abbott seems to think that a ‘formal request’ is an actual thing.
“1 vote margin Abbott” is talking about leadership ballots???
Come the Ides of March Tony…
*I should add that the biggest level of support in a leadership challenge in Australian history, since many leaders were elected unopposed.
“Serious problems with Fair Work Act”, yeah Tony, want some more rope?
And Tone walks.
doyaevta
Perhaps it will be on abc 24 later or replayed on Sky multiview
ABCnews24 commentator asks why wtte if Abbott is correct and this is a fork up of a gov’t why are Abbott’s numbers in the toilet?
Hello people.
My first post here, PB being down with something and in any event full of what looks awfully like Libtard Enforcers these days. (They’re a bit like the Men In Black, but without the sense of humour).
Very pleased the PM saw-off Rudd by such a comfortable majority. The support of less than a third of caucus is, I think, the end for him so far as any hope of getting back into the Big Seat is concerned. Naturally, the Meeja Commentariat is talking-up instability in the ALP, but they’ve gotta justify their jobs somehow, I suppose. That sort of talk will fade as the Government gets-on with what it does best: Running the show competently and delivering good policy.
As for Annabel Crabbe complaining the the PM is being ‘short’ with her, after the shabby treatment she’s received at the hands of the MSM over the last 18 months, Crabbe and her compadres ought to be grateful the PM talks to them at all. Prsonally, if I’d been Gillard, I’d have told them to sod-off and grow-up a bit before coming back, long ago.
Looking forward to QT this afternoon, it should be a beaut. I reckon at least 5 of the rabble will be booted.
hahaha on abcnews24
“Tony Abbott needsa Great Big New Slogan.” wtte Where are the policies?
puffy
Was Abbott asked about that?
Now its time to fight the Tories.
No, it was panel discusion afterwards. He cut and ran before anyone could say Workchoices.
Thanks puffy
Robb gone. Abbott will get no joy from QT today, Gillard is on on fire. Parliament staff stand by with fire extinguishers.
Gillard was smiling while eviscerating Abbott on his supplementary question. She is on fire.
One assume Robb deliberately got himself kicked out to count numbers
New Thread – this one is getting a bit big.
Slipper should leave the jokes out and just stay as schoolmaster, which he does much better
the :p,anelist with the glsses”’es,, gee he was good bet he is not from the ipa
One of the great things about Rudd’s self – immolation is that he can no longer be asked questions in QT. no more long winded answers avoiding direct support for the PM which are analysed to the nth degree for the vaguest hint that a challenge is on.
i noticed albo talking to her ,, maay be checking facts
Julia is on fire. She’s smashing them in QT
http://afrankview.net/2012/02/gillard-won-rudd-lost/
Arbib has resigned as a Minister and a Senator EH?.