Final Call: PM Gillard 77 Rudd 25
No bull, no guessing – we are the Dolphins – The Finnigans (The beautiful photos were done by @GeorgeBludger) - Michelle Rowland will not vote tomorrow, so the total will be: 102, not 103.
Our final count of the publicly declared support: PM Gillard 61 Rudd 19 with 22 Known Unknown. The question is how will the Unknowns break. Sportsbet is reporting the odds of PM Gillard $1.11 Rudd $6.25. Based on that we took the conservative approach and say the Unknowns will be break 70:30 to PM Gillard’s favour. This will give PM Gillard additional 16 votes to 77 and Rudd 6 votes to 25. That is our final call: 77 to 25
ALP Members For Julia Gillard PM – 61 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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24.90 Mark Dreyfus (House of Reps) |
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23.90 Nicola Roxon (House of Reps) |
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22.60 Kate Ellis (House of Reps) |
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22.30 Harry Jenkins (House of Reps) |
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22.20 Brendan O’Connor (House of Reps) |
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22.20 John Murphy (House of Reps) |
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19.70 Laurie Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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17.10 Tanya Plibersek (House of Reps) |
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16.90 Bill Shorten (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Andrew Leigh (House of Reps) |
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14.20 Richard Marles (House of Reps) |
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13.90 Amanda Rishworth (House of Reps) |
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13.50 Simon Crean (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Sharon Bird (House of Reps) |
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12.90 Jenny Macklin (House of Reps) |
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12.70 Greg Combet (House of Reps) |
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12.50 Sharon Grierson (House of Reps) |
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12.10 Stephen Jones (House of Reps) |
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11.70 Catherine King (House of Reps) |
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11.50 Jason Clare (House of Reps) |
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11.00 Mark Butler (House of Reps) |
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10.80 Julia Gillard (House of Reps) |
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9.50 Steve Gibbons (House of Reps) |
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9.20 Gai Brodtmann (House of Reps) |
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9.10 Tony Burke (House of Reps) |
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8.80 Chris Hayes (House of Reps) |
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5.90 Stephen Smith (House of Reps) |
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5.80 Bernie Ripoll (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Steve Georganas (House of Reps) |
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5.40 Craig Emerson (House of Reps) |
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5.30 Rob Mitchell (House of Reps) |
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5.20 Peter Garrett (House of Reps) |
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4.40 Julie Collins (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Shayne Neumann (House of Reps) |
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4.20 Sid Sidebottom (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Warren Snowdon (House of Reps) |
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3.30 Gary Gray (House of Reps) |
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3.20 Wayne Swan (House of Reps) |
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2.70 Joel Fitzgibbon (House of Reps) |
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2.50 Yvette D’Ath (House of Reps) |
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1.80 Mike Symon (House of Reps) |
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1.50 Daryl Melham (House of Reps) |
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1.10 David Bradbury (House of Reps) |
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1.10 Graham Perrett (House of Reps) |
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1.00 Deb O’Neill (House of Reps) |
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0.90 Michael Danby (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Stephen Conroy (Senate) |
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0.00 Don Farrell (Senate) |
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0.00 David Feeney (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Arbib (Senate) |
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0.00 Jacinta Collins (Senate) |
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0.00 Christopher Evans (Senate) |
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0.00 Kate Lundy (Senate) |
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0.00 Jan McLucas (Senate) |
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0.00 Penny Wong (Senate) |
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0.00 Louise Pratt (Senate) |
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0.00 Lisa Singh (Senate) |
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0.00 Glenn Sterle (Senate) |
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0.00 Matt Thistlethwaite (Senate) |
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0.00 Catryna Bilyk (Senate) |
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0.00 Joe Ludwig (Senate) |
ALP Members For Kevin Rudd – 19 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
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20.60 Anthony Albanese (House of Reps) |
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20.00 Maria Vamvakinou (House of Reps) |
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13.20 Anthony Byrne (House of Reps) |
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12.30 Ed Husic (House of Reps) |
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12.20 Janelle Saffin (House of Reps) |
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12.00 Nick Champion (House of Reps) |
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8.10 Alan Griffin (House of Reps) |
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7.80 Chris Bowen (House of Reps) |
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7.70 Justine Elliot (House of Reps) |
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6.90 Robert McClelland (House of Reps) |
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6.80 Laura Smyth (House of Reps) |
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5.70 Martin Ferguson (House of Reps) |
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3.70 Kevin Rudd (House of Reps) |
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0.40 Darren Cheeseman (House of Reps) |
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0.00 Ursula Stephens (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Bishop (Senate) |
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0.00 Kim Carr (Senate) |
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0.00 Mark Furner (Senate) |
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0.00 Gavin Marshall (Senate) |
Ha!
There is a letter in today’s Smh from Vivienne Parsons of Thornleigh.
You will never guess but it is in praise of Rudd
my say
Which post on PB are you referring to re. Andrew. not sure what you mean?
I see that Bruce Hawker is talking FACTIONNNNNSSSS. Oh dear he knows he has lost.
i wouldlove to see them ll disendorsed’include albanese. . i have wrien to all tasmanians on the rudd list including the two senators to let them know they have lost’our vote,
one of those senators i handed out how to vote cards for , have told her to take me off’her’list
OC
Seriously That person is more unhinged than Rudd himself!!!
Victoria you and Kohler have got it all wrong. The independents agreement is between them and JG.
Bemused told me this – anyone who says the opposite is wrong
i wouldlove to see them ll disendorsed’include albanese. . i have wrien to all tasmanians on the rudd list including the two senators to let them know they have lost’our vote,
one of those senators i handed out how to vote cards for , have told her to take me off’her’list
My say
Albanese has explained his reasons. They felt like a kick in the guts at first, but having said that Albo will continue to work as hard as ever. He has been instrumental in the govt success to date in passimg legislation. I am giving Albo the benefit of the doubt. Rudd not so much!!!!
victoria no 45 the piece by kohler’.'it’would’give ‘pb a look at another polster.
OC@6
The drivel from that poster has been ridiculous. No matter how many times we said that Rudd resuming the leadership would ensure the fall of the govt, this poster vehemently disagreed.
rudd i never ever want to hear his name again name ever again,, i hope he leaves
My say
dave has already posted the Kohler piece on PB.
how could albanese say that when by voting to rudd he is working gainst julia.. no’time’for him either’
My say
I only ask that you wait and see how Albo behaves from now on
Anyhow, we are finally getting some rain in Melbourne after a very dry few months. It is refreshing to say the least.
thats why i want bemused to to readt. it and mr bowe
My say,
Rather than rail at those Labor Rudd supporters, maybe it would be better if you told them that when Labor wins the 2013 election, you will expect a personal apology from them for being so obtuse as to support a dysfunctional media star rather than a PM who has worked with the Labor team to implement policies for the benefit of Australians – The Guillard Government’s achievements are nothing short of amazing.
janice
Good point. Although I cannot see the media giving Julia clean air. I do wonder if they will draw their attention to Abbott now. Despite The chaos in Labor this week, their primary vote as per newspoll is 35, which surprises me greatly. I was expecting it to nosedive.
i still c,annot get my head around ,any one votting for rudd. , and all this weeks revelations, makes it even harder rto understand
Good morning Janice and all
http://whatthepeoplewant.net/polls-blog/february-2012/qpeople-powerq-falters.html
The results from the What Peope Want email poll.
Interestingly but not suprisingly the voters most in favour of Kevin Rudd are Libs and 15-24 year olds. 66% for Rudd.
The summation
My say
I have posted the Kohler piece in full over at PB
janice you may be right of course but i dot do dis loyalty easily, i would prefer new candiidates that look to our future,
not the past, ,
missadventure thans you, ..
Pleasure My Say
victoria it will be fun tosee if kohlers piece is commented on and by who over there
My say,
I understand how you are feeling and like you, it sticks in my craw when there is disloyalty and sometimes, downright stupidity. However, come the election at least some of those who’ve supported Rudd may well suffer a voter backlash because of the reasons they gave for countenancing the Rudd push. Albo, on the other hand, is unlikely to suffer this same backlash because it was clear the decision he made tore him to pieces. Carr and McClelland and Doogie are down in the pits so far as I’m concerned.
this from Puffy at the other place
Talcum is on abcnews24 banging on as you would expect. Tony is going move a no-confidence motion, and wants the Indies to support it. Well. knock me over and steal my shoes, who would’ve thought it.
I haven’t read the full kohler article but I guess what he is saying is that the Gov Gen would request Gillard to stay in herost until Rudd provided her with evidence of having the support of the House. This would cause a melt down for Alan Jones, Hadley et al who already claim the GG is compromisedby herson-in-law
OC
The Kohler piece is on the previous page. Worth a read
but albanesese being leader of the house it seems will copflak everyti e he stand there to defend the PM he simp,y cannot have it bothways, .’
i fou d his decision particulaly a bad look and unfortunate considering his position,,, pyne will have a field day and so he should
My Say Albo is voting that way because of some left sub-faction power play which I do not understand but in the end is irrelavent
Possum Comitatus @Pollytics Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Here’s the TPP polling trend including the latest batch of polls yfrog.com/h2qd1oxp Three and a half months of flat
TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans Reply Delete Favorite · Open
@Pollytics Poss, havent you just shoot yourself in the foot. Last night you said, along side Bilbo, that Rudd brought the extra “surge”
In reply to Possum Comitatus
He he he Poss has been caught out
Finny,
??
TLM is going spare over at PB. His language is getting more vulgar by the minute
Some of TLMs post late at night are particularly misogynist. I have a theory that he is a born again Christian or perhaps a Mormon who is appalled that the country is led by a single atheist woman who does “mr naughty” with a man she is not married to.
OC
Really? He sounds unhinged to me. People like him give Christians a bad name
oakshott cou try. wondered about this, but for the ordinary person looking on, everythime he defends the pm in Qt it looks very two faced
he simply cannot have botbways, heshould resign the position today. funny though the mercury had him in tne unannounced colomn
Evan just said on PB that Rudd is going to quit politics. Not sure if it is further unhinging from evan or Rudd. . Could be the same person!!!!!
read aquire , on pb re ulman unless u’have interviewed every single mp how would’u know
i see allan kohler cannot work albanese either
TLM hasn’t yet grown out of short pants. If I remember correctly, when he used to post as Evan he said he was in his twenties and single. Of course, whether you can believe that is another thing. However, he comes across to me as very immature and is still one who would be a rabid member of a fan club so I wouldn’t be surprised to find that he is still in high school.
My say
That is why I say to you let us wait and see how Albo conducts himself from now on
janice
No one in high school would be bothered with politics in this way. There are countless better things to be doing when you are a teenager and being the head of the Rudd fan club is not one of them. I doubt evan supports the ALP
Mark Furner has dumped Rudd.
ruawake
Any reasons given?
really isent him a very long email last night not saying its me of course but, perhhaps he had a lot
vic its not how he conducts himself, i think he is honourable re his job, but the opp will play on iy if slipper lets hom
Self preservation?
Rudd: “This is the most humble day of my life.” (© Rupert Murdoch)
Is there nothing this man won’t steal? Well, apart from the leadership.