Final Call: PM Gillard 77 Rudd 25
No bull, no guessing – we are the Dolphins – The Finnigans (The beautiful photos were done by @GeorgeBludger) - Michelle Rowland will not vote tomorrow, so the total will be: 102, not 103.
Our final count of the publicly declared support: PM Gillard 61 Rudd 19 with 22 Known Unknown. The question is how will the Unknowns break. Sportsbet is reporting the odds of PM Gillard $1.11 Rudd $6.25. Based on that we took the conservative approach and say the Unknowns will be break 70:30 to PM Gillard’s favour. This will give PM Gillard additional 16 votes to 77 and Rudd 6 votes to 25. That is our final call: 77 to 25
ALP Members For Julia Gillard PM – 61 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
![]() |
24.90 Mark Dreyfus (House of Reps) |
![]() |
23.90 Nicola Roxon (House of Reps) |
![]() |
22.60 Kate Ellis (House of Reps) |
![]() |
22.30 Harry Jenkins (House of Reps) |
![]() |
22.20 Brendan O’Connor (House of Reps) |
![]() |
22.20 John Murphy (House of Reps) |
![]() |
19.70 Laurie Ferguson (House of Reps) |
![]() |
17.10 Tanya Plibersek (House of Reps) |
![]() |
16.90 Bill Shorten (House of Reps) |
![]() |
14.20 Andrew Leigh (House of Reps) |
![]() |
14.20 Richard Marles (House of Reps) |
![]() |
13.90 Amanda Rishworth (House of Reps) |
![]() |
13.50 Simon Crean (House of Reps) |
![]() |
13.20 Sharon Bird (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.90 Jenny Macklin (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.70 Greg Combet (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.50 Sharon Grierson (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.10 Stephen Jones (House of Reps) |
![]() |
11.70 Catherine King (House of Reps) |
![]() |
11.50 Jason Clare (House of Reps) |
![]() |
11.00 Mark Butler (House of Reps) |
![]() |
10.80 Julia Gillard (House of Reps) |
![]() |
9.50 Steve Gibbons (House of Reps) |
![]() |
9.20 Gai Brodtmann (House of Reps) |
![]() |
9.10 Tony Burke (House of Reps) |
![]() |
8.80 Chris Hayes (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.90 Stephen Smith (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.80 Bernie Ripoll (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.70 Steve Georganas (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.40 Craig Emerson (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.30 Rob Mitchell (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.20 Peter Garrett (House of Reps) |
![]() |
4.40 Julie Collins (House of Reps) |
![]() |
4.20 Shayne Neumann (House of Reps) |
![]() |
4.20 Sid Sidebottom (House of Reps) |
![]() |
3.70 Warren Snowdon (House of Reps) |
![]() |
3.30 Gary Gray (House of Reps) |
![]() |
3.20 Wayne Swan (House of Reps) |
![]() |
2.70 Joel Fitzgibbon (House of Reps) |
![]() |
2.50 Yvette D’Ath (House of Reps) |
![]() |
1.80 Mike Symon (House of Reps) |
![]() |
1.50 Daryl Melham (House of Reps) |
![]() |
1.10 David Bradbury (House of Reps) |
![]() |
1.10 Graham Perrett (House of Reps) |
![]() |
1.00 Deb O’Neill (House of Reps) |
![]() |
0.90 Michael Danby (House of Reps) |
![]() |
0.00 Stephen Conroy (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Don Farrell (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 David Feeney (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Mark Arbib (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Jacinta Collins (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Christopher Evans (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Kate Lundy (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Jan McLucas (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Penny Wong (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Louise Pratt (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Lisa Singh (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Glenn Sterle (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Matt Thistlethwaite (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Catryna Bilyk (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Joe Ludwig (Senate) |
ALP Members For Kevin Rudd – 19 (out of 102)
Ordered by Seat Margin
![]() |
20.60 Anthony Albanese (House of Reps) |
![]() |
20.00 Maria Vamvakinou (House of Reps) |
![]() |
13.20 Anthony Byrne (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.30 Ed Husic (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.20 Janelle Saffin (House of Reps) |
![]() |
12.00 Nick Champion (House of Reps) |
![]() |
8.10 Alan Griffin (House of Reps) |
![]() |
7.80 Chris Bowen (House of Reps) |
![]() |
7.70 Justine Elliot (House of Reps) |
![]() |
6.90 Robert McClelland (House of Reps) |
![]() |
6.80 Laura Smyth (House of Reps) |
![]() |
5.70 Martin Ferguson (House of Reps) |
![]() |
3.70 Kevin Rudd (House of Reps) |
![]() |
0.40 Darren Cheeseman (House of Reps) |
![]() |
0.00 Ursula Stephens (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Mark Bishop (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Kim Carr (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Mark Furner (Senate) |
![]() |
0.00 Gavin Marshall (Senate) |
















































































My say, yes it becomes a bit of an addiction. In the old days I used to log onto pollbludger first thing in the morning, heart beating in anticipation of a fix. Nowadays it all really doesn’t bother me. That might change after a couple of years of Abbott PM :p
itep please no no abbott
Yes but to be fair My Say when PB was founded and before Crickey it actually was a site about polling and news. William very strictly stopped anyone giving an opinion or acting provocatively – it was very pleasant but changed about the time Crickey bought it.
yes polling and news like bk does every morning great stuff
I mentioned yesterday that it seemed from Rudd’s presser that he’d gone to school on the Abbott approach in content (or lack thereof) and style, the Credlin-Loughane game plan. The fact that he is also “campaigning” on the issue of trust seems to ripped directly from the Howard playbook.
Rudd and Hawker are quite the little magpies.
Rua
Rudd is gone, he has to contemplate back bencherville with his one member of staff and no Dept.
All the while looking straight up the gunbarrel of disendorsement. There should be a poster on his wall with a bloody great gun labelled “Disendorsement” aimed right at him. It should be his desktop and screensaver. The ALP should be uncompromising.
Personally I feel sorry for Rudd who is tremendously talented but unstable, certainly right now. His promenade through the Mall today is inexplicable, illogical and I hope he takes some time off for himself and his family after Monday. IMO he needs help.
ru i thought u mentilned it was a ballott that was seen,” took a peek at pb . a member syas its a secret ballott
inay have missunderstood, ??
Somewhat on topic I just published a new post at The Daily Derp:
Two Of Kevin Rudd’s Biggest Mistakes.
hi dan still battling 36 deg, here just happened to look at pb o my god to much for me i’hop this site gets bigger i was going to post over there an add bur better ask permission first
My say
Traditionally the ballot was a ‘show and tell’. Within a faction each member showed the person behind them their vote. As the factions are now completely splintered it is unlikely that this type of vote still occurs
I do not believe it :
So Manchild is endorsing a Ban Evader to suit his meme.
What a frigging Joke
Victoria and Forever Janice – just to let you know I have changed the title substantially and the content a bit of my pome about which you made comments. I had taken the liberty of copying them to the original pome. I trust the new format is all right for you. If not, let me know and I will delete! I’m pretty sure my prediction is the right one.
http://polliepomes.wordpress.com/2012/02/25/will-ruddys-face-be-red/
Found everyone’s comments here and at The Political Sword and Cafe Whispers today very encouraging, even since Albo’s decision. Go Julia!
my say
Wow 36 degrees – sounds like a scorcher for Tassie.
By all means, feel free to comment over at the Derp.
Same goes for everyone on AFV, all of your comments, constructive criticism, additions are welcome.
The Derp has a slightly different set up than AFV for posting comments. You just create a user name (in your case My Say), add your email address*, and a website if you like. The website can be you Twitter profile, or any other site you like. It’s not cumpulsory though.
The email address and user name are cumpulsory, and of course your email address will not be visible to any one who visits the site. It’s just for admin pruposes in case I need to contact you for technical reasons. And of course you email address will never be disclosed to any one else for any reason without your permisssion.
Joe Hockey Criticises Peter Slipper for stating the bleeding obvious:
Considering I’m still banned over at the other place I will post my reply re DTT hear:
The ALP in Qld aere Stuffed while they have that Astro Turfinig Faceless Man named Bruce Hawker running the campaign.
Ahh Thee Libs are all class – NOT.
Ahh More Class from the Fibs.
Oh and Peta Credlin ?
http://www.liberal.org.au/Pages/LaborFacelessMen.aspx
Interesting:
TheAge Breaking News
@theagebreakingThe gender agenda: Julia Gillard’s legitimacy has always been questioned. A lot of it revolves around her gender… http://bit.ly/z4WVLm
Maxine Maxine Maxine – I am VERY dissapointed in you.
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/politics/divided-they-stand-20120225-1tv9v.html
What a nasty piece of Work from the Hearld Scum – if I recall correctly Tim isn’t a member of Parliament- thouigh I;m sure he is supporting Julia behind the scenes.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/kevin-plays-the-family-card-while-julia-keeps-tim-in-the-background/story-e6frfhqf-1226281560866
Can’t find my last post – did something happen to it?
Nothing in the spam bin under your name – So I can’t answer why it disappeared.
FRom SK – Interesting to say the least.
Space Kidette
Okay – must have hit the wrong button.
thank you patricia, for gy your poem
PB has gone feral. Has anyone notice a change in some of the long time posters like bemused?
why some so creul they must harbour thoughts that will in the long run make them unwell, its sad that some oeople even woman cannot get over weactually have a beautiful lady at our helm hher soul does magnify her face, i actually think she feel sorry for those who dis like her their loss of course god bless julia our very first lady pm
gwenth its a ver y negative place tbe vibes are dreadful it was maki g me depressed, uu can actually feel the negative force coing through the screen it needs blessi g, . i feel it meant for change not sure what let see something has changed,
things happen for a reason frank and the boys are the reason for this blogg it will flurish
frank are u really going back there, its so negative
my say
I think Frank has bigger and better things to do now that AFV is gaining in popularity than waste his time time on the PB cesspool.
John Brumby backs Gillard:
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/politics/divided-they-stand-20120225-1tvf6.html
gweneth, Brumby is staunch, if Ms Gillard is good enough for John Brumby then she’s good enough for me
Thanks for that gweneth! Just to repeat – if you need reminding, John Brumby thinks Julia Gillard has what it takes!
Hmmmmmmm
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/breaking/13013547/rudd-says-labor-risks-losing-30-seats/
Why does “Junior” remind me of a certain challenger ? :-)
Ch 10 re today:
Borg’s comments are telling:
ad astra at The Political Sword has laid out a Gillard v Rudd scorecard. The conclusion:
http://www.thepoliticalsword.com/post/2012/02/25/The-Gillard-Rudd-comparative-scorecard-.aspx
i hope some one has posted the last few links over there,
So much for Queensland MP’s being behind Rudd:
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/favourite-son-falls-out-of-favour-in-queensland-20120225-1tv59.html#ixzz1nPiEIwgq
Oh Well.
frank why dont u let finns say u have no intention of returnong ss your dite is getting so much traffic your to busy
frank u will always be our living legened u dont need them
Saw this linked on PB. How I wish some of our politicians would stick it to their interviewers as well as the President of Ireland does to this… wanker.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/101713520#post2
Really… listen to it. It will make your day.
just posted what i could at pb the hillyskelton and jan mclucas wish i had time to stay on the big computer
but still notice the large gap between sentances, unless you go to the very end and i ran out of space, u press the space bar you still end up somtimes wit h a two line gap.
hi bb the atmopsphere is far to negative for me, i am staying here, the site seems to have different vibes to long ago.
you where the first person i read on the site about 3 years ago, Frannks doing a great job very cool calm and collected with the help of a wonderful tech support team george and ru. this site is technically is so so good
Anyone know who’s on Insiders this am?
As another thought, wonder if Rudd’s interview with Oakes wiil somehow have Oakes saying leaks didn’t come from Rudd?
will oakes mention the leaks?. will be interesting
Of the 23 known unknowns I think you need to add Doogie and Faulkner to the Ruddista. Someone said Doogie would abstain but there is no evidence in the media for this and he was one of her earliest supporters. With Doogie and Albo so goes Faulkner. The Soft Left has gone to the Ruddistas; I don’t know why.