A Quick & Dirty List of Declared Supporters

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Feb 232012
 

Final Call: PM Gillard 77 Rudd 25

No bull, no guessing – we are the Dolphins – The Finnigans (The beautiful photos were done by @GeorgeBludger) - Michelle Rowland will not vote tomorrow, so the total will be: 102, not 103.

Our final count of the publicly declared support: PM Gillard 61 Rudd 19 with 22 Known Unknown. The question is how will the Unknowns break. Sportsbet is reporting the odds of PM Gillard $1.11 Rudd $6.25. Based on that we took the conservative approach and say the Unknowns will be break 70:30 to PM Gillard’s favour. This will give PM Gillard additional 16 votes to 77 and Rudd 6 votes to 25. That is our final call: 77 to 25

ALP Members For Julia Gillard PM – 61 (out of 102)

Ordered by Seat Margin

24.90
Mark Dreyfus
(House of Reps)		 23.90
Nicola Roxon
(House of Reps)		 22.60
Kate Ellis
(House of Reps)		 22.30
Harry Jenkins
(House of Reps)
22.20
Brendan O’Connor
(House of Reps)		 22.20
John Murphy
(House of Reps)		 19.70
Laurie Ferguson
(House of Reps)		 17.10
Tanya Plibersek
(House of Reps)
16.90
Bill Shorten
(House of Reps)		 14.20
Andrew Leigh
(House of Reps)		 14.20
Richard Marles
(House of Reps)		 13.90
Amanda Rishworth
(House of Reps)
13.50
Simon Crean
(House of Reps)		 13.20
Sharon Bird
(House of Reps)		 12.90
Jenny Macklin
(House of Reps)		 12.70
Greg Combet
(House of Reps)
12.50
Sharon Grierson
(House of Reps)		 12.10
Stephen Jones
(House of Reps)		 11.70
Catherine King
(House of Reps)		 11.50
Jason Clare
(House of Reps)
11.00
Mark Butler
(House of Reps)		 10.80
Julia Gillard
(House of Reps)		 9.50
Steve Gibbons
(House of Reps)		 9.20
Gai Brodtmann
(House of Reps)
9.10
Tony Burke
(House of Reps)		 8.80
Chris Hayes
(House of Reps)		 5.90
Stephen Smith
(House of Reps)		 5.80
Bernie Ripoll
(House of Reps)
5.70
Steve Georganas
(House of Reps)		 5.40
Craig Emerson
(House of Reps)		 5.30
Rob Mitchell
(House of Reps)		 5.20
Peter Garrett
(House of Reps)
4.40
Julie Collins
(House of Reps)		 4.20
Shayne Neumann
(House of Reps)		 4.20
Sid Sidebottom
(House of Reps)		 3.70
Warren Snowdon
(House of Reps)
3.30
Gary Gray
(House of Reps)		 3.20
Wayne Swan
(House of Reps)		 2.70
Joel Fitzgibbon
(House of Reps)		 2.50
Yvette D’Ath
(House of Reps)
1.80
Mike Symon
(House of Reps)		 1.50
Daryl Melham
(House of Reps)		 1.10
David Bradbury
(House of Reps)		 1.10
Graham Perrett
(House of Reps)
1.00
Deb O’Neill
(House of Reps)		 0.90
Michael Danby
(House of Reps)		 0.00
Stephen Conroy
(Senate)		 0.00
Don Farrell
(Senate)
0.00
David Feeney
(Senate)		 0.00
Mark Arbib
(Senate)		 0.00
Jacinta Collins
(Senate)		 0.00
Christopher Evans
(Senate)
0.00
Kate Lundy
(Senate)		 0.00
Jan McLucas
(Senate)		 0.00
Penny Wong
(Senate)		 0.00
Louise Pratt
(Senate)
0.00
Lisa Singh
(Senate)		 0.00
Glenn Sterle
(Senate)		 0.00
Matt Thistlethwaite
(Senate)		 0.00
Catryna Bilyk
(Senate)
0.00
Joe Ludwig
(Senate)

 

ALP Members For Kevin Rudd – 19 (out of 102)

Ordered by Seat Margin

20.60
Anthony Albanese
(House of Reps)		 20.00
Maria Vamvakinou
(House of Reps)		 13.20
Anthony Byrne
(House of Reps)		 12.30
Ed Husic
(House of Reps)
12.20
Janelle Saffin
(House of Reps)		 12.00
Nick Champion
(House of Reps)		 8.10
Alan Griffin
(House of Reps)		 7.80
Chris Bowen
(House of Reps)
7.70
Justine Elliot
(House of Reps)		 6.90
Robert McClelland
(House of Reps)		 6.80
Laura Smyth
(House of Reps)		 5.70
Martin Ferguson
(House of Reps)
3.70
Kevin Rudd
(House of Reps)		 0.40
Darren Cheeseman
(House of Reps)		 0.00
Ursula Stephens
(Senate)		 0.00
Mark Bishop
(Senate)
0.00
Kim Carr
(Senate)		 0.00
Mark Furner
(Senate)		 0.00
Gavin Marshall
(Senate)

  1,273 Responses to “A Quick & Dirty List of Declared Supporters”

  1. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:10 pm

    Thanks Finns,

     

    Meanwhile some Comedy gold from DTT:

    daretotread

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 12:34 pm | Permalink

    Looks as if the senior left has decided for Gillard. This means Rudd has no chance.

    Problem is after the public attacks on him he could well decide he has no future and resign from parliament.  I would if I had had such a huge load of Sh*t dumped on me.

    After all being regarded as a labor rat cannot add much to the hatred he already has directed at him.  This means that a by election in Qld and Gillard government out.

    Well done!!!!!!!!

    He could resign from Labor and go independent. That WOULD be funny to watch

     

     

  2. Marian Rumens says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:20 pm

    Kevin Rudd told his four media co-conspirators that if he lost the first round, he would sit on the backbench

    and distabalize from there. I wonder if he has Carr, Ferguson and Bowen’s support to do this.

  3. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:35 pm

    Amanda Rishworth (Kingston) has declared for JG…on several occasions actually….latest today

  4. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:38 pm

    Chris Hayes has declared for JG…(via Latika Bourke twitter)

  5. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:39 pm

    Robert McLelland declares for Rudd…No surprise there…

  6. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:41 pm

    Anna Burke refuses to comment…

  7. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:42 pm

    …but both Gillard & Rudd camps say Anna Burke will support Rudd

  8. TheFinnigans says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:43 pm

    Thanks for the new names, updated

  9. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:44 pm

    Paul Bongiorno@PaulBongiorno

    #tennews ultimate fighting comes to Canberra – Julia and her  allies out to bury Kevin. Soon on Ten news.

    And Most importantly:

    mia brankov@mia_b10

    back in November last year @LaurieOakes told me that if KRudd was to contest JGill it would be Feb/Mar #prophet #laurieforPM #auspol

    Retweeted by Ryan Rampling

     

     

  10. george says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:47 pm

    Finns, is Albo a definite? Has he made any statements?

  11. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:51 pm

    Chris Evans declares for JG…(Via Lyndal Curtis twitter)…

    PS: Stephen Smith says Rudd definitely challenging

  12. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:51 pm

    From O Dio Mio:

    1099
    Diogenes
    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 4:50 pm | Permalink

    Flipper Boy

    Stephens, Byrne and Griffith have announced for Rudd.

     

  13. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:53 pm

    Albo a week ago:

    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/breaking-news/albanese-insists-party-leadership-settled/story-e6frf7jx-1226271650345

     

  14. TheFinnigans says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:55 pm

    Diog, Stephens who?

  15. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:56 pm

    Ursula Fimnns

  16. TheFinnigans says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:57 pm

    Ok, all updated

  17. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:57 pm

    Interesting re the Ruddistas and Hawker:

    gough1

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 4:55 pm | Permalink

    Its quite an amazing dynamic on here.

    Those supporting Rudd as an advocate against the faceless men and the sussex street “polling not policy” modus operandi appear to have no qualms about a paid lobyist Hawker running the show for Rudd almost solely on the “look at polls” criteria.

    Really! and when the polls dont pick up for Rudd or decline in due course what have you set yourself up for?

     

  18. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 1:59 pm

    Laurie Ferguson declares for JG…via LBourke Twitter

  19. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:04 pm

    Funny how the Ruddistas now hate Cassidy :-)

    the spectator

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 5:02 pm | Permalink

    But for the Gillard camp, the first real break came courtesy of the challenger’s choice to spruik his case on national television. Not for him, senior ministers in the Government, but a paid lobbyist, Bruce Hawker.

    Paul Howes was rightly criticised in June 2010, when he, as a trade union boss, went on Lateline the night of the coup and urged a vote for Gillard. That single event helped give rise to the damaging “faceless men” syndrome.

    But at least Paul Howes’ union was affiliated with the ALP. To use a lobbyist, armed only with a brand new slogan, was an error of judgment.

    From Cassidy’s article on the drum.  To compare Paul Howes to Bruce Hawker is completely ridiculous.  The criticism of Howes was that he swung votes in the caucus by his control over those caucus members via the AWU to vote for Gillard.  Hawker has no such influence on the party at all.  but I guess this is the standard of Cassidy’s journalism that we have come to expect because he has personal grudge against Rudd

     

  20. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:11 pm

    Darryl Melham declares for JG…..Latika again

  21. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:20 pm

    Michelle Rowlands declares for JG…..but NOT attending Mon as has just given birth…& no proxies. Latika

     

  22. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:23 pm

    Comedy Gold from DTT:

    daretotread

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 5:18 pm | Permalink

    Left e

    I would like to believe otherwise but I do not think Rudd can recover from this position. The vitriol has been too great against him and the libs will use it mercilessly.

    Since I think he is going to be trashed on Monday but has no choice but to stand, I think he will probably quit parliament or move to the cross benches.  What loyalty has the ALP shown him?  How can he even sit in the same room as Swan and Crean?  How can he POSSIBLY remain in caucus after the vile abuse hurled at him?

    He may as well become an independent.

    I guess we are now facing an election in 3 months.

     

  23. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:32 pm

    Puffy is NOT happy:

    Puff, the Magic Dragon.

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 5:29 pm | Permalink

    William et al, If you are right and everyone is going to assume Gillard is a liar, then I will be viciously lividly angry about it. I will be angry at every miserable focker who set out to slur and support the slur of this woman who had the temerity to take the Prime Ministership from a man, and then go to an election and use negotiating skills instead of brute force to win government. Then when she finds a way to implement a price on carbon to try to save future generations, (including the future generations of her detractors no less) the miserable self-interested maggots, both male and male-identified female, use it to destroy her reputation.

    It may not sway an election. I am one person. But there is a anger in me for this that is be deep and beyond giving any forgiveness. Now people can come back at me and accuse me of the using sexism blah blah blah, but make no mistake, this is not a line of argument nor an academic discussion. It is a deep fermenting rage, and do not think I am alone.

     

  24. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:42 pm

    From Fatima:

    Latika Bourke @latikambourke

    Labor MP Melissa Parke’s office is receiving a huge influx of emails and phone calls about the #respill. She’s still deciding.

    Retweeted by Aidan

     

  25. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:47 pm

    Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

    Denise @SpudBenBean

    Wonder why Dougie Cameron didn’t question Mr Scott  in #estimates. I wonder, I wonder, I wonder.

     

     

  26. ruawake says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:48 pm

    What a day to be ISP challenged. :(

    Maybe it will occur to Rudd that returning to Australia was a bad option.

  27. george says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:48 pm

    Jess Rudd compares what’s happening here to China censorship – you just can’t make this stuff up. Too funny and too sad at the same time.

    http://www.mamamia.com.au/news/jessica-rudd-talks-politics-kevin-rudd-the-spill-and-owning-it/

    Let’s own this spill, people. Let’s make it ours. Make your MPs work for you. Tell them what you want. Because unlike my mates in China, we have no excuse for simply sitting back and letting it happen.

  28. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:50 pm

    Yvette D’uth (sp) – Member for Petrie for Gillard on Capitol Hill

  29. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:53 pm

    Oh FFS Lyndal – 30% Primary my ARSE.

     

     

  30. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:55 pm

    Yvette D’ath declares for JG….Lyndal Curtis

  31. Patriciawa says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:55 pm

    Fatima@24 -yes, I phoned Melissa Parkes officeto complain about her being listed in Rudd’ s camp and was told that I should not believe everything I read in the papers!   Calls are apparently running at 50/50 but they won’t necessarily inform her final decision.   She is making no public statements, even to refute newspaper lists etc. since she doesn’t want to fuel flames……yadiyadiya…………

  32. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 2:57 pm

    Le Grace@bow_and_arrow

    Yvette D’ath tells Lyndal Curtis she supports Julia Gillard…

  33. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:03 pm

    Frank….your mate Barnett says JG will have to win convincingly….”needs large majority”

    FFS!!! Abbott has a majority of ONE….talk about double standards :(

  34. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:05 pm

    Hey Barney, How much did Mr Rabbott win by again ?

    And you know all about comebacks – just ask Deidre :-)

    http://www.wabusinessnews.com.au/article/Gillard-needs-large-majority-Barnett

     

  35. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:06 pm

    markjssays:

    Frank….your mate Barnett says JG will have to win convincingly….”needs large majority”

    FFS!!! Abbott has a majority of ONE….talk about double standards :(

    EditDelete

    Just replied – Barneyn thinks Rudd can do a Lazaurus like he did with Troy Buswell.

  36. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:08 pm

    Some more for the list:

    James Massola@jamesmassola

    Also – Catryna Bilyk and Michael Danby tell Aus Online they back PM; Ursula Stephens and Maria Vamvakinou back KRudd: http://bit.ly/xE4F0K

    Retweeted by Misha Schubert

     

     

  37. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:08 pm

    Catryna Bilyk and Michael Danby declare for JG…..

    Maria Vamvakinou declares for Rudd…. James Massola

  38. ruawake says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:12 pm

    Ursula Stephens declares for nobody

    http://www.ursulastephens.com/blog/

  39. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:16 pm

    Interesting tweet from ABC 612 Brisbane

    “Federal MP Yvette D’Ath (Petrie) says she believes none of the Qld Federal MP’s have backed Kevin Rudd, herself included #auspol”

  40. victoria says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:16 pm

    ruawake

    As you know I am quite thick

    “and spike milligan”????

  41. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:18 pm

    Hmmm:

    Has Kerry S rung Riley and read him the Riot Act ?

    BH

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 6:17 pm | Permalink

    Seven is strongly pushing the ‘RUDD IS MORE POPULAR!!!’ line.

    So last night’s Clubs Australia scoop is now forgotten and it means nothing to Ch7?

     

  42. Patriciawa says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:18 pm

    Fatima@24 -yes, I phoned Melissa Parkes office to complain about her being listed in Rudd’ s camp and was told that I should not believe everything I read in the papers!   Calls are apparently running at 50/50 but they won’t necessarily inform her final decision.   She is making no public statements, even to refute newspaper lists etc. since she doesn’t want to fuel flames……yadiyadiya…………

    Re Jess Rudd, I’m sure she’s daddy’s girl, but I do wonder about that son of his.  I have one of my own and grandsons too, and my heart went out to Marcus that day in June, 2010.  Imagine having a father like Kevin Rudd, for god’s sake, master of manipulation, giant ego and unawareness of the needs of others around him.   What a rotten thing to do, dragging him out to stand there behind his Dad at a time of utmost humiliation.

  43. foreverjanice says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:18 pm

    Finny,

    I’m sure I heard Dougie say he was going with Rudd earlier this arvo.

  44. ruawake says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:20 pm

    and spike milligan

    There was a poor news guy who had to read the news, Spike Milligan sat down beside him with an open mike.

    He inserted “and Spike Milligan” into the silly news stories and stayed silent during the serious stuff.

  45. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:20 pm

    victoria says:

    February 23, 2012 at 3:16 pm (Edit)
    .
    ruawake

    As you know I am quite thick

    “and spike milligan”????

    EditDelete

  46. markjs says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:23 pm

    Fwiw….Latika tweets:

    “Still have a bunch more to phone but going by what I have on the record, Rudd may struggle to get more than 30 votes, if that. #respill.”

  47. victoria says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:23 pm

    ruawake

    So all the comments on PB is silly? :)

  48. Frank Calabrese says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:24 pm

    From Leroy:

    Leroy

    Posted Thursday, February 23, 2012 at 6:22 pm | Permalink

    For what it’s worth….

    ExStaffer @ExStaffer @latikambourke @samanthamaiden what numbers do you have for each now? 6:11 PM – 23 Feb 12

    samanthamaiden @samanthamaiden @ExStaffer @latikambourke I’d say about 27-30 for Rudd. Gillard 70 6:16 PM – 23 Feb 12

     

  49. ruawake says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:26 pm

    So all the comments on PB is silly?

    You said it. :)

  50. victoria says:
    February 23, 2012 at 3:29 pm

    ruawake

    There are a few sensible ones, but the place has been taken over by Ruddistas. For the life of me I cannot understand how someone who has deliberately undermined the govt for personal gain, could still be respected. Especially his behaviour in the past few days. It has been disgusting.

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